金荣中国：白银亚盘区间窄幅震荡，市场下方支撑位多单布局

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the Federal Reserve's dovish signals on the financial markets, particularly focusing on the implications for gold and silver prices amid ongoing economic uncertainties and trade tensions. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Reactions - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks have heightened expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 96.7% probability of a 25 basis point cut by the end of the month according to CME's FedWatch tool [3] - Powell's comments highlighted concerns about the labor market and inflation, which have contributed to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields, with the 10-year yield dropping to 4.03% and the 30-year yield reaching a new low of 4.59% [1][3] - The dovish stance of the Fed is seen as supportive for gold prices, as low inflation and low yield environments create favorable conditions for precious metals [3] Group 2: Economic Uncertainties and Government Shutdown - The U.S. government has been in shutdown for 14 days, with a failure to pass a temporary funding bill, increasing economic uncertainty [3][4] - The shutdown has led to the layoff of over 4,100 federal employees, although this number is lower than initial estimates, indicating a less severe impact than anticipated [4] - The ongoing government shutdown and lack of economic data are contributing to market volatility and risk aversion, further influencing the demand for safe-haven assets like gold [3][4] Group 3: Trade Tensions and Currency Movements - Renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China have negatively impacted market sentiment, leading to a decline in the U.S. dollar index [5] - The imposition of reciprocal port fees has exacerbated risk aversion, causing funds to flow from equities to bonds as investors seek safety [1][5] - The weakening dollar is expected to diminish its attractiveness, potentially boosting the relative value of gold [3][5] Group 4: Precious Metals Market - Current spot prices for gold are around $4,185 per ounce, while silver is priced at $52.18 per ounce, reflecting the ongoing volatility in the precious metals market [5] - The silver market is currently experiencing a price consolidation phase, with strategies suggested for both long and short positions based on support and resistance levels [9]