Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-15 07:14Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities expects Alibaba Health (00241) to exceed market consensus for the fiscal year ending March 2024, with significant upward revisions to revenue and profit forecasts [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth forecast for the current fiscal year has been increased by 4 percentage points to 14% [1] - Adjusted net profit growth forecast has been raised by 10 percentage points to 30% [1] - Adjusted net profit predictions for the current and next fiscal years have been increased by 8% [1] - Projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for free cash flow from fiscal year 2024 to 2031 has been revised from 42% to 45% [1] Target Price and Rating - Target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 5.5 to HKD 6.56 [1] - The rating remains "Buy" [1] Growth Drivers - Key drivers for the better-than-expected performance include strong sales during the 618 shopping festival [1] - Increased investment from parent company Alibaba Group (09988) in fast e-commerce has enhanced traffic to Taobao and Tmall, benefiting Alibaba Health [1] - Growth in younger user traffic, B2C e-commerce cross-selling, and increased advertising spending from more merchants have contributed to performance [1] - Rising online penetration of pharmaceutical sales and increased advertising spending from merchants and pharmaceutical brands have also boosted Alibaba Health's profit margins [1]