Ford Motor(US:F) Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2025-10-15 07:25Core Viewpoint - Ford is temporarily reducing production of at least five vehicle models due to aluminum supply issues following a significant fire at Novelis, a key aluminum supplier [1][3]. Group 1: Impact on Production - Ford has suspended production of its profitable full-size SUVs, the Expedition and Navigator, starting this week due to aluminum supply difficulties [1]. - A memo sent to employees indicates that the suspension of SUV production will last for one week [1]. - The fire at Novelis's plant is expected to impact aluminum supply significantly, as it supplies approximately 40% of the aluminum sheets used in the U.S. automotive industry [3]. Group 2: Financial Implications - If F-Series truck sales decline by 20% in the fourth quarter, Ford's operating income could decrease by $800 million (approximately 5.7 billion RMB) [5]. - Analysts warn that if production of the F-Series trucks is halted, Ford could face up to $1 billion (approximately 7.12 billion RMB) in operating profit losses [5]. Group 3: Supply Chain Adjustments - Ford is actively working with Novelis to mitigate the impact of the fire and is exploring all feasible alternative solutions [1]. - The company has halted operations at another assembly plant in Kentucky and one in Michigan to ensure aluminum supply for other models [7]. - Novelis is assessing whether aluminum produced at its overseas plants and those of competitors can meet Ford's standards [7].