BD传统旺季将近，恒生创新药ETF(159316)的配置机遇备受关注

Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector is experiencing a rebound, with the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug Index rising by 2.54% as of 15:15. The recent fluctuations in the sector are attributed to the digestion of previous positive news and geopolitical concerns, rather than a reversal in industry trends. The recognition of Chinese innovative drugs by overseas pharmaceutical companies has shifted from a "stock selection" approach to a "country-level" strategic focus, making China a core supplier in the global innovative drug landscape [1]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The innovative drug sector is currently undergoing a fundamental transformation in its business development (BD) logic, with overseas companies increasingly recognizing the importance of Chinese innovative drugs [1]. - The current slowdown in BD transaction activity is viewed as a minor fluctuation within a longer-term trend, rather than a sign of a significant downturn [1]. Group 2: Upcoming Catalysts - The fourth quarter is expected to be a period of intensive catalysts for the innovative drug sector, with major academic conferences such as ESMO, ASH, and SABCS set to present key clinical data from Chinese innovative drugs, which could enhance market confidence if results exceed expectations [2]. - The traditional peak season for BD transactions is anticipated in October and November, with significant deals already initiated, such as the one involving Innovent Biologics, which may validate long-term industry logic [2]. - Policy adjustments, both domestically and internationally, are expected to support the innovative drug sector, including the opening of a window for adjustments to the medical insurance catalog and the potential benefits from a renewed interest in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. Group 3: Related Investment Vehicles - Relevant investment vehicles include the Hang Seng Innovative Drug ETF (159316), Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical ETF (513200), and Pharmaceutical ETF (512010), which provide exposure to the innovative drug sector [3].