伟大公司不靠运气，靠时间

Core Insights - Sequoia Capital is a highly respected name in the venture capital industry, having supported companies that created trillions of dollars in market value globally [1] - Roelof Botha, representing the third generation of Sequoia, discusses the challenges in the venture capital industry, organizational innovations, views on the Chinese market, and lessons learned from mentors [2] Investment Strategy - The Sequoia Scout program was launched in 2009, allowing successful founders to invest in early-stage entrepreneurs with Sequoia's funding, resulting in a total fund return of 26 times [3][4] - Sequoia's highest returning funds, Venture 12 and Venture 13, achieved returns exceeding 20 times, with notable companies like Airbnb and Stripe [4] Industry Challenges - Roelof Botha highlights that the venture capital industry is currently facing an excess of capital and low returns, with annual investments around $150 billion to $200 billion [5][6] - To achieve reasonable returns, the industry would need over $1 trillion in exit value annually, which is unrealistic given the current market conditions [6][8] - The number of companies achieving exits over $1 billion is limited, with only about 20 companies doing so each year [8] Organizational Innovation - Sequoia Capital adopts a "self-enhancing" approach, with a significant portion of its operational team dedicated to supporting its investment team [10][11] - The firm has developed numerous internal tools, including an AI system for summarizing business plans and assessing team quality [12][13][14] Market Perspective - Roelof Botha reflects on the challenges faced by the Chinese market, noting a drastic decline in new company formations from 51,000 in 2018 to 1,200 in 2023, a 98% drop [17] - He emphasizes that while the entrepreneurial spirit in China is strong, it has shifted to regions like Latin America, Singapore, Japan, and Europe [19] Long-term Investment Philosophy - Sequoia Capital Fund was launched in 2022 to hold shares of public companies, allowing for long-term compounding growth [21] - The fund has generated an additional $6.7 billion for LPs in just 3.5 years by adopting a patient investment strategy [22][23] Cultural Values - The firm's culture, established by Don Valentine, focuses on finding "outstanding but difficult" individuals who are often non-conformists [25][26] - Investment decisions at Sequoia are made through a consensus mechanism, allowing any partner to veto an investment [26] Mentorship and Learning - Roelof Botha credits his mentors, Michael Moritz and Doug Leone, for teaching him the importance of heart and imagination in venture capital [27][28][29] Legacy and Goals - Sequoia Capital prioritizes long-term excellence over scale, aiming to be the preferred investment manager for LPs rather than managing the most capital [30][31]