
Core Viewpoint - Red Robin (RRGB) shows potential for significant upside, with a mean price target of $11 indicating a 61.1% upside from the current price of $6.83 [1] Price Targets and Estimates - The average price target for RRGB ranges from a low of $6.00 to a high of $15.00, with a standard deviation of $3.74, indicating variability in analyst estimates [2] - The lowest estimate suggests a decline of 12.2%, while the highest indicates a potential upside of 119.6% [2] - Analysts' agreement on earnings estimates is strong, which supports the view of potential upside [4][11] Analyst Behavior and Price Target Reliability - Solely relying on consensus price targets for investment decisions may not be wise due to historical inaccuracies in predictions [3][7] - Analysts often set optimistic price targets influenced by business relationships, which can lead to inflated estimates [8] - A low standard deviation in price targets suggests a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding price movement direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Stock Potential - Recent revisions in earnings estimates have shown a positive trend, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increasing by 19.5% over the past month [12] - RRGB holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors [13] - The correlation between earnings estimate revisions and stock price movements supports the expectation of an upside for RRGB [11] Conclusion on Price Movement - While consensus price targets may not reliably indicate the extent of potential gains, they can provide a useful guide for understanding price movement direction [14]