中方重拳出击起效了，特朗普遭遇3连败，美专家：史无前例？

Group 1 - The announcement of a 100% tariff increase on Chinese goods by Trump led to a significant market reaction, with the S&P 500 index losing $700 billion in just three minutes and a total daily loss of $1.65 trillion, marking the largest single-day loss since the pandemic began in 2020 [1] - Trump's tariff strategy appears to target high-end manufacturing sectors in China, such as semiconductor equipment and industrial robots, while excluding Christmas consumer goods to avoid domestic backlash [3] - China's response includes new regulations on rare earth exports, which could severely impact U.S. military production, as many defense systems rely on Chinese rare earth materials [3] Group 2 - China has initiated a legal battle against the U.S. at the WTO regarding the imposition of special port fees, while also launching antitrust investigations into U.S. mergers, indicating a strategic shift to a rules-based counterattack [5] - Major shipping companies have suspended routes to U.S. West Coast ports, leading to significant delays and increased costs for U.S. retailers like Walmart and Amazon, who are now facing rising operational costs due to the tariff war [5] - The political landscape in the U.S. is becoming increasingly divided, with bipartisan efforts to limit Trump's tariff powers, reflecting growing discontent with his trade policies [7] Group 3 - The U.S. judicial system has recently ruled against Trump's tariff measures, stating they are unconstitutional, which has led to a wave of lawsuits from multinational companies seeking refunds on tariffs paid, amounting to over $20 billion [7][9] - The U.S. economy is facing severe challenges, with federal debt surpassing $36 trillion and interest payments exceeding $1 trillion annually, contributing to rising inflation and potential stagflation risks [11] - The Federal Reserve's dilemma of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation could lead to a significant GDP contraction by 2026, as per simulations [12] Group 4 - The ongoing government shutdown has affected 600,000 federal employees and critical services, further complicating Trump's political standing as his approval ratings plummet [14] - Internationally, traditional allies like the EU and Japan are hesitant to fully align with U.S. policies against China, instead opting to strengthen trade relations with China, as evidenced by a 9.2% increase in trade between China and the EU [16] - The combination of legal, economic, and political crises in the U.S. is unprecedented, creating a vicious cycle that exacerbates each issue, leading to a complex governance failure [18]