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PGR Q3 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates, Rise Y/Y on Higher Premiums
ProgressiveProgressive(US:PGR) ZACKSยท2025-10-15 18:41

Core Insights - The Progressive Corporation's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $4.05 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 20.3% despite a year-over-year increase of 13.1% [1][8] - Operating revenues reached $22.2 billion, falling short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.6% [1] - The company's shares declined by 5.2% in pre-market trading following the earnings report [1] Financial Performance - Net premiums written increased by 10% to $21.3 billion compared to $19.5 billion a year ago [1][8] - Net premiums earned grew by 14% to $20.8 billion, but this figure missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.1 billion [2] - The net realized gain on securities was reported at $288 million, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase [2] Combined Ratio and Policies - The combined ratio deteriorated by 50 basis points to 89.5, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 87 [2] - Policies in force in the Personal Lines segment rose by 13% to 36.9 million, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3] - The Special Lines segment improved by 8% to 7 million policies, also matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate [3] Segment Performance - The Personal Auto segment saw Agency Auto policies increase by 13% to 10.6 million and Direct Auto policies jump by 17% to 15.6 million [3] - The Commercial Auto segment policies rose by 6% year over year to 1.2 million, while the Property business had 3.7 million policies in force, also up by 6% [4] Financial Metrics - Progressive's book value per share increased by 30.4% to $60.45 as of September 30, 2025, compared to $46.36 a year earlier [5] - Return on equity was reported at 37.1%, down from 40.2% in the previous year [5] - The total debt-to-total capital ratio improved by 410 basis points to 16.3 [5] Market Position - Progressive currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [6]