华润医疗(1515.HK):2025下半年外部环境挑战仍在 持续打造学科品牌

Core Viewpoint - Company reported a 9.1% year-on-year decline in revenue for H1 2025, with a 21.8% drop in net profit attributable to shareholders. Excluding compensation received, net profit fell by 57.1%, primarily due to decreased average medical expenses under health insurance and a reduction in IOT business scale [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.525 billion yuan, down 9.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 374 million yuan, down 26.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 340 million yuan, down 21.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) stood at 0.27 yuan. The board declared an interim dividend of 0.05 yuan per share, unchanged from the previous year [1][2] - The company's own hospitals generated revenue of 4.259 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 7.4%. While outpatient visits increased by 1.0%, inpatient visits fell by 3.9%. The decline in average medical expenses under health insurance led to a 5.8% drop in both outpatient and inpatient revenue [2] - The gross profit for the hospital business segment was 670 million yuan, down 27.4%, with a gross margin of 15.7%, a decrease of 4.4 percentage points year-on-year. The profit for this segment was 255 million yuan, down 51.1%, indicating that profit decline outpaced revenue decline due to significant gross profit reduction [2][3] Business Development - The company has 103 medical institutions, including 13 tertiary hospitals, 22 secondary hospitals, and 41 primary hospitals as of mid-2025. It is actively responding to external environmental changes and has made progress in business development, enhancing patient experience through various initiatives [2][3] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 15.7%, down from 20.8% in the previous year. The core hospital business gross margin was also 15.7%, reflecting a significant impact on profitability [3] Financial Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the company's leverage ratio (interest-bearing debt/total assets) was 9.9%, down from 10.8% at the end of 2024. Despite having a net current liability of 1.21 billion yuan, the company has approximately 8.02 billion yuan in unused bank credit, indicating a generally stable financial condition [4] - The company expects to maintain steady growth in H2 2025, leveraging its regional leadership in hospitals and ongoing investment in discipline construction [4][5] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 9 billion yuan, 9.199 billion yuan, and 9.404 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -8.67%, +2.21%, and +2.23% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 529 million yuan for both 2025 and 2026, and 556 million yuan for 2027, with corresponding growth rates of -6.49%, 0.03%, and 4.99% [5]