Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting a significant amount of reverse repos to maintain liquidity in the banking system, indicating a supportive monetary policy stance amid potential tightening of liquidity conditions [1][2][4] Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On October 15, 2025, the PBOC will conduct a reverse repo operation of 600 billion yuan with a term of 6 months, marking the second such operation in October [1] - Earlier in October, the PBOC conducted a reverse repo operation of 1.1 trillion yuan with a term of 3 months [1] - The total amount of reverse repos in October is set to increase by 100 billion yuan compared to the previous month, continuing a trend of injecting medium-term liquidity for five consecutive months [1] Group 2: Market Conditions and Government Actions - The increase in reverse repo operations is partly due to the large-scale issuance of government bonds and the acceleration of new policy financial tools, which are expected to boost loan disbursements [2] - The strong performance of the stock market and the phenomenon of "deposit migration" among residents in October are also contributing to a tightening of liquidity, necessitating support from the PBOC [2] Group 3: Future Expectations - Analysts expect the PBOC to continue using reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) tools to inject liquidity into the market [4] - There is a possibility of a reduction in the scale of medium-term liquidity injections in the future, as the PBOC may implement a new round of reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts in the fourth quarter [4] - The anticipated RRR cuts are linked to external volatility, changes in domestic economic growth momentum, price trends, and efforts to stabilize the real estate market [4]
加量操作呵护流动性,央行开展6000亿元买断式逆回购
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-15 02:15