突发！历史级“逼空”，伦敦银租赁利率突破30%！已有客户被限制开仓

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing a significant "short squeeze" leading to a historic price surge, with silver prices reaching a 45-year high due to extreme supply shortages and increased demand for physical silver [2][5][10]. Silver Market Dynamics - The current COMEX silver futures price rose by 3.76% to $52.525 per ounce, while London silver spot prices surpassed $53 per ounce, marking a monthly increase of over 12% and an annual increase exceeding 80% [2]. - The total holdings of major overseas silver ETFs increased from 24,957 tons on February 6 to 28,484 tons on October 13, reflecting a 14.13% rise, while the LBMA silver inventory was only 24,581 tons, indicating a significant supply shortage [2][3]. - Since mid-2019, the freely available silver inventory in London has plummeted by 75% from approximately 850 million ounces to around 200 million ounces, creating immense pressure on short positions [4]. Rental Rates and Delivery Pressures - The rental rate for one-month silver in London surged to over 30%, with overnight borrowing costs exceeding 100% at times, indicating the high cost of borrowing silver for delivery [4][6]. - The "short squeeze" is driven by two main factors: a surge in delivery demand for COMEX silver futures and a historically low level of available silver inventory, which has made it difficult to meet sudden large-scale withdrawal demands [5][6]. Price Trends and Market Sentiment - The current market conditions have led to a situation where the spot price of silver is trading at a premium over futures prices, reflecting a willingness to pay higher prices for immediate physical delivery [5][6]. - The trading volume for silver futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange in September was 27.51 million contracts, a 125.59% increase month-over-month, indicating heightened market activity [9]. Broader Precious Metals Context - Gold prices also reached a new high of $4,200.23 per ounce, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global trade tensions [10]. - The strong performance of silver is attributed to robust industrial demand from sectors such as consumer electronics, electric vehicles, and photovoltaics, which has outpaced that of gold [11]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that while silver prices have reached historic highs, there may be a risk of short-term price corrections due to the influx of physical silver into London and potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy [12]. - The macroeconomic fundamentals supporting precious metal prices, such as ongoing central bank gold purchases and geopolitical risks, remain intact, suggesting that the upward price trend may continue despite potential volatility [12].