IC外汇平台：欧元在1.1650附近保持坚挺，缺乏方向性？

Core Viewpoint - The Euro/USD exchange rate is currently hovering just below the 1.1650 level, having moved away from recent lows of 1.1540, amidst a moderately bullish market environment [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Despite the escalation of the US-China trade war and ongoing volatility, the Euro/USD remains "heavy" and lacks a clear directional trend [3] - The possibility of the Euro breaking strongly above 1.20 still exists, but the current conditions do not support this [3] - The stock market continues to reach new highs, creating a significant paradox as investors remain cautious and avoid making large bets in the forex market [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate again is high, but the next steps remain unclear due to inflation concerns and potential escalation of tariff issues [3] - The US labor market continues to face challenges, which is one of the main issues currently [3] Group 3: Currency Trends - The dollar has regained dominance and tested the 1.15 level, confirming previous analyses that favored the dollar [3] - However, a significant rebound for the dollar may not be feasible at this time, as breaking below the 1.10 level seems unlikely [3] - The exchange rate is expected to continue consolidating around current levels in the coming weeks [3] Group 4: Upcoming Events - Notable speeches from Federal Reserve officials are on today's agenda, as there are no significant macroeconomic data releases [3] - The preference is to maintain current levels without significant changes [3]