上海大宗交易格局重塑：外资集体缺席、中邮保险超百亿拿下博华广场

Core Insights - The significant transaction of Bohua Plaza has directly boosted Shanghai's investment market, with a total transaction amount reaching 14.97 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a 78.1% increase compared to the previous quarter [1][2] - The average transaction amount for single projects in Q3 2025 reached 881 million yuan, a notable increase from 560 million yuan in 2024 and 420 million yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating a rise in large transactions [1][2] - The transaction of Bohua Plaza, valued over 10 billion yuan, is considered one of the largest in the office sector in recent years, reflecting a positive shift in market sentiment towards core assets in major cities [2][3] Transaction Details - In Q3 2025, Shanghai recorded 17 asset transactions, with 4 transactions exceeding 1 billion yuan and 47% of transactions valued over 500 million yuan [1][2] - The Bohua Plaza transaction involved multiple parties, including China Post Insurance as the lead investor, and is part of a broader trend of significant transactions in the Shanghai market [1][2] - Other notable transactions included the Jinqiao Wanchuang Center at 1.4 billion yuan and the Qiantan Yongcui 46 project at 945 million yuan, the latter setting a new record for rental apartments in Shanghai [3][4] Market Dynamics - The office asset category regained dominance in Q3 2025, accounting for 75% of total transaction value and 53% of transaction volume, with significant contributions from Bohua Plaza and other key projects [4][5] - The market showed a clear divide in domestic buyers, with institutional investors like China Post Insurance actively participating, while foreign investment was notably absent [5] - The outlook for Shanghai's commercial real estate investment market remains positive, with expectations of continued stability and growth in Q4 2025 due to supportive macroeconomic policies and a resurgence in foreign investment interest [5]