百利好早盘分析：宽松利好金价 短期警惕回调

Group 1: Gold Market - The Federal Reserve has signaled a dovish stance, with Chairman Powell indicating a likely end to balance sheet reduction in the coming months, and a potential for two rate cuts by the end of the year [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its growth forecasts for the US economy to 2.0% and 2.1% for this year and next, respectively, up from previous estimates of 1.9% and 2.0% [1] - Technical analysis shows a strong upward movement in gold prices, with a focus on the support level around $4,175 [1] Group 2: Oil Market - Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are expected to provide some support for oil prices [3] - However, the oil market faces significant pressure from supply-side factors, with US production rising to 13.62 million barrels per day and Saudi Arabia reaching a new production high [4] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned of a more severe oversupply situation than previously anticipated, influenced by trade tensions between major economies [4] - Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for oil prices, with resistance at $60 and support at $57 [4] Group 3: Copper Market - The copper market is currently experiencing a period of adjustment after a previous price surge, with potential for further upward movement if it stabilizes above the 20-day moving average [6] - The focus is on the support level around $4.85 [6] Group 4: Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index has tested the 62-day moving average for support and is showing signs of a bullish trend [6] - Attention is on the support level around 47,228 [6]