“港股IPO，至少能火到2026年”

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among investment bankers is that the Hong Kong IPO market will remain strong until at least 2026, driven by a combination of policies, capital influx, and market sentiment [2][4][11]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of October 13, 2025, a record 269 companies have submitted IPO applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) this year, with June and September being the peak months for submissions [2]. - The sectors with the highest representation in IPO applications since 2025 include information technology, healthcare, industrials, consumer discretionary, materials, and consumer staples [2]. Group 2: Policy Support - The surge in Hong Kong IPOs is attributed to multiple favorable policies introduced in 2025, including the establishment of the "Chapter 18C" for unprofitable tech and biotech firms, and a reduction in listing thresholds for specialized technology companies [5]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission have streamlined the approval process for A-share companies seeking to list in Hong Kong, enhancing the "dual listing" mechanism [5]. Group 3: Market Efficiency - The average review period for Hong Kong IPOs in the first half of 2025 was 4.2 months, significantly shorter than the 8-12 months typical for A-share listings [6]. Group 4: International Appeal - Hong Kong's unique position as a Special Administrative Region of China provides a blend of internationalization and stability, making it an attractive destination for companies, especially in light of geopolitical tensions [7]. - The high valuation of companies listed in Hong Kong, such as an AI chip company with a price-to-earnings ratio of 45 times, contrasts favorably with similar firms in the A-share market [7]. Group 5: Return of Chinese Companies - Over 20 Chinese concept stocks have completed secondary listings in Hong Kong in 2025, with the market becoming the preferred destination for these companies [9]. - The return of these companies is seen as a valuation recovery, with many investors acknowledging the role of former President Trump in this trend [10]. Group 6: Investment Trends - The influx of capital into the Hong Kong market has been substantial, with over 450 billion HKD net inflow recorded by October 10, 2025, aligning with the sectors seeing the most IPO activity [12]. - A significant portion of private equity and venture capital firms are preparing for Hong Kong listings, indicating the market's operational viability as an exit strategy [13].