金晟富：10.16黄金每天新高何时见顶？日内黄金行情分析参考

Group 1: Market Overview - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to multiple favorable factors, including rising expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, geopolitical uncertainties, and escalating international trade tensions [2][3] - Gold prices reached a historical high of $4218 per ounce, with a 1.59% increase on Wednesday, marking four consecutive days of gains [2] - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance, particularly comments from Chairman Powell regarding the labor market, has led to a decline in the US dollar index, enhancing gold's appeal as a hedge against risks [2][3] Group 2: Economic Impact - The ongoing government shutdown has resulted in an estimated economic output loss of approximately $15 billion per day, affecting the release of key economic data such as inflation and retail sales reports [3] - Despite some positive indicators like the Empire State Manufacturing Index rising to 10.7, overall economic activity remains stagnant, with concerns over consumer spending and increased layoffs [3] - The mention of "tariffs" in reports highlights their impact on rising input costs and inflation expectations, with the term being referenced 64 times [3] Group 3: Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies - Current trading strategies suggest a cautious approach, with recommendations to buy on dips around $4180 and to avoid chasing prices above $4250 [4][6] - The short-term trading outlook emphasizes the importance of monitoring market trends, with key resistance levels identified at $4250-$4255 and support levels at $4180 [6][7] - Specific trading strategies include selling on rebounds near $4250-$4255 and buying on dips around $4185-$4190, with strict stop-loss measures advised [7]