美联储10月降息几乎成定局

Core Insights - The latest Federal Reserve report indicates a slight decline in overall consumer spending in the U.S., while employment levels remain stable across regions. However, more employers are resorting to layoffs and natural attrition to reduce workforce numbers, leading to a weakened job market. A rate cut in the upcoming October meeting is almost certain, with a 97.3% probability of a 25 basis point reduction, which may provide some support to the U.S. economy [2] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in October, with a high probability of 97.3% [2] - The U.S. economy faces increased uncertainty due to tariff policies and other economic measures, raising questions about the effectiveness of limited monetary easing [2] - There is a concern that even with accelerated rate cuts, the Federal Reserve's actions may be insufficient to address the significant downward pressures on the U.S. economy [2] Group 2 - The current monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is criticized for lacking foresight and being reactive rather than proactive [2]