Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-16 05:45Core Viewpoint - The domestic electric vehicle (EV) market is facing increased pressure due to changes in tax policies, leading to a decline in stock prices for major automotive companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xpeng Motors (09868) shares fell by 4.84%, trading at HKD 81.65 [1] - Great Wall Motors (02333) shares decreased by 3.69%, trading at HKD 15.15 [1] - Li Auto (02015) shares dropped by 2.23%, trading at HKD 87.65 [1] - GAC Group (02238) shares declined by 1.16%, trading at HKD 3.42 [1] Group 2: Policy Changes - Starting in 2026, the standards for the domestic EV purchase tax exemption will be raised [1] - Most automakers are cautious about the market impact of the new regulations [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment - NIO's founder, Li Bin, indicated that all automakers will face significant pressure in Q1 next year, with policies like tax reductions potentially leading to a preemptive surge in demand [1] - He predicts that nationwide EV sales in Q1 next year could be around half of Q4 this year [1] - UBS reported that while most manufacturers can meet the new standards, the updated policies may appear stricter, negatively affecting market sentiment [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan noted that as EV subsidies phase out and the tax exemption policy ends next year, vehicle purchase costs will rise significantly, potentially leading to a market rush in Q4 [1]