Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that HuTongDa Network (09878) is expected to experience high-quality and rapid growth driven by rural revitalization policies, AI empowerment, and external mergers and acquisitions, with a target price of HKD 23.38 and a buy rating [1] - The company has a diverse ownership structure, with Alibaba holding a 16.28% stake since 2018, and the management's focus is returning to the company, enhancing its strategic position within the group [2] - HuTongDa is leveraging policy benefits and urbanization trends to drive growth in the trillion-level sinking market, optimizing its supply chain and product structure to meet local consumer demands [3] Group 2 - The company serves over 251,000 rural couple stores and reaches 300 million rural residents, with a projected revenue CAGR of 12.5% from 2018 to 2024 [4] - In 2024, the company is shifting its strategy from scale-oriented to profit and cash flow-oriented, leading to historical highs in gross margin (4.6%), net margin (1.0%), and net profit margin (0.6%) in the first half of 2025 [4] - The company has submitted a full circulation application for 350 million domestic shares and plans to repurchase up to 500 million RMB of H-shares, aiming to enhance its market value and re-enter the Hong Kong Stock Connect [4]
第一上海：首予汇通达网络“买入”评级 目标价23.38港元