Should You Still Invest in the Vanguard 500 ETF After Goldman's Dire Prediction?

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs analysts predicted slow returns for the S&P 500 over the next decade, suggesting investors consider equal-weighted funds instead of traditional index trackers [1][7]. Performance Analysis - Since Goldman Sachs' report, the S&P 500 has posted a total return of 14.9%, while an equal-weighted S&P 500 tracker gained 4.5%, and the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF surged by 36.6% [4]. - The market's nearly 15% return significantly exceeds the predicted long-term average of approximately 3%, indicating that the Goldman report has not been accurate thus far [5]. Long-term Outlook - Goldman Sachs' forecast is intended for a 10-year horizon, and while the short-term performance has exceeded expectations, a future downturn or recession could validate their long-term predictions [6][7]. - The current market is heavily influenced by a few companies benefiting from the AI boom, raising concerns about market concentration and the sustainability of this growth [8].