Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-16 16:40Core Viewpoint - ASML's financial executive claims readiness for China's rare earth regulations, but this statement may indicate uncertainty about the actual inventory sustainability [1][3] Group 1: Inventory and Supply Chain - ASML asserts it has a large inventory to meet short-term needs, but this may not guarantee long-term supply [1] - The implication of having inventory is compared to a person relying on stored water, suggesting that the supply may not last indefinitely [1] Group 2: Regulatory Environment - China has implemented regulations requiring ASML to report any sales of lithography machines containing more than 0.1% heavy rare earths, indicating a significant control over ASML's operations [3] - The regulatory framework suggests that ASML's ability to sell its most profitable machines is contingent upon Chinese approval, highlighting the power dynamics in the relationship [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article suggests a potential for sanctions against ASML, proposing a complete cessation of its business and assets in China if it continues to act against Chinese interests [3][4] - The narrative indicates a shift in the technological hegemony, emphasizing that companies must respect the Chinese market and regulations to succeed [4]