A股：大盘精准收在3916.23点，不出意外的话，周五的剧本是这样的

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3916.23 points, slightly up by 0.10%, while the Shenzhen Component fell by 0.25%, and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.38% [1] - The trading day exhibited a typical bottom-rebound pattern, with early gains but weak buying pressure, resulting in a trading volume of less than 2 trillion yuan, a decrease of approximately 7% from the previous trading day [1] - Over four thousand stocks closed in the red, indicating a notable decline in market activity, with funds concentrated in a few heavyweight sectors such as banking, coal, and liquor, while technology and resource sectors faced adjustments [1] Sector Performance - Banking stocks continued their steady rise, with CITIC Bank leading the gains [1] - Liquor stocks saw a late surge, with Shanxi Fenjiu taking the lead [1] - The coal sector maintained strong performance, with multiple related companies hitting the upper limit [1] - Conversely, sectors such as small metals, photolithography machines, and rare earth permanent magnets faced significant pressure, showing considerable declines [1] - Although there was some capital involvement in sectors like chips and solid-state batteries, the sustainability of this interest was weak, leading to rapid rotation of funds and increased short-term trading risks [1] Market Sentiment - The reduced trading volume reflects market sentiment, with both bulls and bears awaiting clearer signals [3] - The upcoming third-quarter earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting are contributing to the uncertainty, causing both institutions and retail investors to hesitate in increasing positions [3] - The APEC meeting's interactions between China and the U.S. may also release new information regarding trade and tariffs, influencing market dynamics [3] Strategic Recommendations - In the current transitional market state characterized by reduced volume and weak sustainability of hot sectors, maintaining a defensive position is advisable [3] - Short-term funds should control the impulse to chase highs, especially in the absence of a clear trend in hot sectors, while keeping flexible positions to respond to potential sudden opportunities [3] - Mid-term funds can focus on sectors with clear long-term logic, such as domestic substitution and new energy, waiting for policy or earnings-driven market expansions [3] - Overall, the market does not exhibit systemic risks but is experiencing temporary volume contraction due to multiple approaching events [3]