Core Viewpoint - The aluminum industry is exploring high-quality development through the integration of futures and spot markets, addressing challenges such as market price fluctuations and rising costs while seizing strategic opportunities for transformation and upgrading [1][2][3]. Industry Overview - The global aluminum industry is facing structural adjustments in the supply chain, with challenges including price volatility and increased costs due to geopolitical tensions and a shift towards "safety and controllability" in economic development [2]. - The integration of futures tools with spot production is seen as a key driver for the industry, helping companies manage costs and inventory effectively, thereby stabilizing profits [3][4]. Risk Management - The complexity of risks faced by upstream and downstream enterprises in the aluminum industry is increasing, necessitating a focus on external uncertainties and shocks [2][4]. - There is a need for enhanced collaboration between futures companies and the aluminum industry to improve risk management capabilities, including the establishment of training alliances and digital service platforms [4][9]. Market Dynamics - The domestic electrolytic aluminum industry is currently in a high prosperity cycle, with profits leading among non-ferrous metals, supported by structural reforms and resilient demand from new economies [5][6]. - The supply side is nearing capacity limits, while demand from traditional sectors and emerging industries is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 2% annually [6][8]. Futures Market Development - The establishment of a complete risk hedging system in the domestic futures market, covering alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and casting aluminum alloys, is crucial for the high-quality development of the aluminum industry [8]. - The participation of enterprises in futures trading in Henan province has seen a growth rate of 23% over the past three years, with significant risk mitigation achieved through futures tools [8][9]. Strategic Recommendations - Companies are encouraged to adopt a proactive risk management approach, utilizing futures for hedging and opportunity capture rather than relying solely on directional bets [7][9]. - The development of a tiered risk control system is recommended, focusing on traditional futures integration, expanding the use of options, and fostering collaboration with futures companies for data sharing and operational efficiency [9].
期现结合赋能铝产业链韧性与安全水平提升!“2025期现融合助力铝产业高质量发展论坛”在郑举行
Qi Huo Ri Bao·2025-10-16 23:44