

Core Viewpoint - The traditional metal resources are becoming a new lifeline amid the technological wave and energy transition, with challenges in supply for non-ferrous metals and potential long-term turning points in the sector [1] Group 1: Tin Market Insights - AI servers consume significantly more tin than traditional servers, leading to an increase in tin demand, with an expected annual growth rate of 44.5% in global tin consumption from 2025 to 2030 [2] - Limited new supply capacity for tin in the medium to long term, combined with growth in emerging fields like AI and robotics, as well as steady growth in electric vehicles and photovoltaics, supports a bullish long-term outlook for tin prices [2] Group 2: Precious Metals Outlook - The precious metals sector is currently at the lower end of historical valuation, indicating potential for sustained recovery, with recommendations to focus on companies like Shandong Gold, Zhaojin Mining, and others [3] - The gold-silver ratio is currently high and is expected to converge, suggesting a focus on silver investments [3] - Future investments in power grids and growth in AI data centers, along with relatively inelastic copper supply, are likely to elevate copper price levels [3] Group 3: Copper Investment Opportunities - Global copper supply is expected to face long-term constraints due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, which may limit supply growth [4] - Anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could catalyze a new upward cycle in copper prices, making the copper sector an attractive investment opportunity [4] - Recommended companies include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and others [4] Group 4: Cobalt Market Dynamics - The implementation of export quotas for cobalt from the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to reduce exports by over 100,000 tons in the next two years, leading to an estimated market shortage of about 30,000 tons in 2024 [5] - The tightening supply in the cobalt market is likely to maintain high price levels, with potential for further increases [5] Group 5: Overall Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - Despite market reactions, there remains investment space in the non-ferrous metals sector, primarily driven by expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which could boost prices [6] - Precious and industrial metals are sensitive to global interest rate environments, indicating potential for price increases [6] - The current valuation of the non-ferrous metals sector in Hong Kong shows an advantage over A-shares [6]