Core Viewpoint - The pork price has been on a downward trend since October, with the national average price for live pigs nearing 11 yuan per kilogram, raising concerns about whether it can be maintained [2] Group 1: Price Dynamics - The relationship between live pig prices and pork prices is complex, involving multiple stages such as slaughtering, transportation, and distribution, which delays the reflection of live pig price changes in the market pork prices [4] - There is a notable pattern in price transmission: prices rise quickly but fall slowly. When live pig prices increase, the market tends to react swiftly, while a decrease in prices does not prompt the same urgency in the market [5][7] - Historical data shows that even with significant drops in live pig prices, market pork prices tend to remain high, as stakeholders in the supply chain are reluctant to lower prices [8] Group 2: Seasonal Consumption Trends - As the year-end approaches, there is typically a 20% increase in pork consumption compared to September and October, driven by seasonal demand for products like cured meats and sausages [11] - Recent increases in pork prices can be attributed to rising demand as temperatures drop, indicating that the market is beginning to recover, which may support pork prices in the near term [9][11]
猪价都跌成这样了,怎么还不见猪肉便宜啊?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-16 03:03