Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-17 00:49Core Viewpoint - The traditional metal resources are becoming a new lifeline amid the technological wave and energy transition, with challenges in supply for non-ferrous metals and emerging demand potentially marking a long-term turning point for the sector [2]. Group 1: Tin Market Insights - Minmetals Securities is optimistic about tin prices, forecasting an average annual growth rate of 44.5% in tin consumption for AI servers from 2025 to 2030, driven by significantly higher tin usage compared to traditional servers [5]. Group 2: Precious Metals Outlook - Shenwan Hongyuan suggests that the precious metals sector is likely to continue its recovery, with current valuations at the lower end of historical averages. They recommend focusing on companies like Shandong Gold, Zhaojin Mining, and others, while noting that the gold-silver ratio is currently high and may converge in the future [6]. Group 3: Copper Investment Opportunities - Guolian Minsheng highlights long-term supply constraints in copper due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, which, combined with expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, could catalyze a new upward cycle in copper prices. Recommended companies include Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [7]. Group 4: Cobalt Market Dynamics - CITIC Construction emphasizes the strategic opportunity in cobalt, noting that new export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo will reduce cobalt exports by over 100,000 tons in the next two years, leading to an estimated market shortage of about 30,000 tons in 2024 [8]. Group 5: Overall Non-Ferrous Metals Investment Space - HSBC Jintrust Fund indicates that there remains investment space in the non-ferrous metals sector, primarily due to further expected rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could drive prices up. The current valuation of the non-ferrous sector in Hong Kong is seen as advantageous compared to A-shares [9].