【大涨解读】内存:美股存储巨头两个月涨超三倍,AI需求积压传统产能,供需缺口推动产业大周期演绎
Xuan Gu Bao·2025-10-16 03:06

Market Overview - On October 16, the memory sector experienced a collective surge, with companies like Demingli hitting the daily limit, and others such as Xiangnong Chip and Baiwei Storage rising over 10% [1] Company Performance - Demingli (001309.SZ) reported a 10% increase, establishing a comprehensive storage product matrix including mobile storage and solid-state drives [2] - Xiangnong Chip (300475.SZ) saw a 19.34% rise, with its self-branded "Haipu Storage" completing the R&D and trial production of DDR4 and DDR5 products for cloud computing storage [2] - Yachuang Electronics (301099.SZ) increased by 13.43%, known for its NAND Flash and DRAM chips used in automotive electronics [2] - Baiwei Storage (688525.SS) rose by 11.14%, focusing on semiconductor storage development and advanced packaging testing [2] - Jiangbolong (301308.SZ) reported a 9.49% increase, with its memory products widely used in various fields including servers and gaming [2] - Jucheng Co. (688123.SS) increased by 7.89%, known for its SPD products essential for DDR memory modules [2] Industry Events - On October 15, U.S. storage stocks surged, with SanDisk rising over 13%, and Western Digital and Micron also seeing significant gains [3] - Samsung Electronics announced preliminary Q3 2025 results, with sales expected to be around 85-87 trillion KRW, a year-on-year increase of over 7.4%, driven by AI-related price increases in storage chips [3] - Changxin Technology's IPO guidance status has changed to "guidance acceptance," indicating the completion of its IPO counseling [3] Price Trends - Since September, major storage manufacturers like Samsung and Micron have announced price increases, with Samsung planning a 15%-30% increase for some DRAM products and Micron raising prices by approximately 20% [4] - Recent data shows DDR memory prices have increased significantly, with DDR 524 Gb prices rising by 15% and DDR 516 Gb by 16% [5] Demand Drivers - The current storage cycle is characterized by increasing demand driven by AI, transitioning from a supply-controlled price cycle to a demand-driven cycle with emerging supply shortages [6] - Nearline HDDs are experiencing supply shortages, with lead times extending beyond 52 weeks, indicating a growing demand for HDDs and SSDs [5][6]