财政供养人员呈上升态势

Core Insights - The government work report for 2025 emphasizes the need to "strictly control the scale of fiscal personnel," raising widespread attention to the size of fiscal personnel in China [2] - A recent study from Fudan University estimates that the total number of fiscal personnel in China reached approximately 68.46 million in 2020, indicating a steady increase but with a slowing growth rate [2][3] - The structure of fiscal personnel is more significant than the absolute numbers, with a notable trend of decreasing in-service personnel within the official system due to reforms [2][3] Group 1: Fiscal Personnel Trends - The total number of in-service personnel in the national tax system decreased from 740,200 at the end of 2018 to 650,400 by the end of 2024, a reduction of 12.13% [3] - Since 2004, the growth in fiscal personnel has primarily been driven by an increase in retired and non-staff personnel, with retired personnel accounting for nearly 40% of fiscal personnel by 2020 [3][4] - Two-thirds of fiscal personnel are concentrated in grassroots governments at the city and county levels [3] Group 2: Regional Disparities - There is a significant regional disparity in the distribution of fiscal personnel, with a higher supply rate in the western regions compared to the eastern regions, leading to an imbalance of surplus and shortage [4][5] - For instance, a county in the western region had a fiscal personnel to population ratio of 1:5, indicating a high burden of fiscal personnel relative to the population [5] Group 3: Policy Recommendations - To control the scale of fiscal personnel, it is essential to promote government function transformation and clarify the boundaries between government and market responsibilities [6] - Local governments are encouraged to implement reforms tailored to regional conditions, such as streamlining administrative structures and reducing overlapping management to alleviate fiscal burdens [6][7] - Recent initiatives in Hunan Province aim to reduce fiscal personnel by merging institutions and optimizing personnel allocation, projecting savings of 120 million yuan by 2025 [6]