ZJJH(SH:600160) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-16 08:26Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the fluorochemical industry, with steady revenue and net profit growth projected from 2013 to 2024, driven primarily by refrigerants and basic chemical products [1][2] Group 1: Company Overview - Established in 1998, Zhejiang Juhua is a major manufacturer in fluorochemical and chlor-alkali chemical new materials, with its controlling shareholder being Juhua Group Co., Ltd. and actual controller being the Zhejiang State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [1] - The company's product categories include fluorochemical raw materials, fluorinated refrigerants, fluorinated polymers, fluorinated fine chemicals, food packaging materials, petrochemical materials, and basic chemical products [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - From 2013 to 2024, the company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.7% and 20.4%, respectively, with over half of the revenue coming from refrigerants and petrochemical materials [1] - In 2024, the revenue contribution from refrigerants and petrochemical materials is projected to be 38% and 17%, respectively, while nearly 60% of gross profit is expected to come from refrigerants, accounting for 64% in 2024 [1] Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The introduction of production quotas for third-generation fluorinated refrigerants in 2024 is expected to benefit the company as the industry experiences an upturn, with significant price increases anticipated compared to 2023 [2] - The company holds a leading market share of 34% in third-generation refrigerant production quotas for 2025, with major products like R32, R125, and R134a representing 42%, 21%, and 25% of its total quotas, respectively [2] Group 4: Product Development and Capacity - The company ranks among the top three in the production capacity of various fluoropolymers, with FKM and PVDF being the largest in China [3] - Despite a 7% year-on-year increase in external sales of fluorinated polymers in 2024, the average price has decreased by 17%, indicating supply-demand pressures in the industry [3] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its basic chemical product offerings to enhance its supply chain, including chlor-alkali, coal chemical, and sulfuric acid products [4] - Investments of approximately 1.6 billion yuan are being made in projects for PTT and PDO to transition the petrochemical segment towards advanced specialty materials [4] Group 6: Profit Forecast - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.44 billion, 5.43 billion, and 6.59 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.65, 2.01, and 2.44 yuan [4] - The current price corresponds to PE ratios of 22.66, 18.53, and 15.28 for the respective years, with a target price range of 39.5 to 41.2 yuan per share based on a PE of 24-25 for 2025 [4]