GTC泽汇：黄金战略新格局下的避险与对冲

Core Viewpoint - The gold market remains robust, supporting prices around $4200 per ounce, with a notable scarcity of sellers and a trend of investors choosing to hold rather than take profits, indicating gold's long-term strategic role in asset allocation [1] Group 1: Institutional Investment Trends - Some asset management firms have significantly increased their gold allocation, with Tanglewood Total Wealth Management raising its gold holdings to approximately 12%, surpassing the initial target of 10% [2] - This shift reflects a profound change in institutional investors' asset allocation philosophy, moving from tactical short-term gains to strategic long-term holdings in gold [2] - Despite potential short-term sales, the long-term value of holding gold is widely recognized among investors [2] Group 2: Factors Driving Gold Demand - One key factor driving gold demand is the rising level of global sovereign debt, with gold transitioning from a traditional "disaster hedge" to a "currency hedge" amid declining fiat currency purchasing power [3] - The strategic position of gold in the global financial system has been increasingly highlighted since the 2008 financial crisis and the subsequent fiscal stimulus measures during the COVID-19 pandemic [3] - The geopolitical use of the dollar and increasing global trade tensions have diminished its reliability as a reserve currency, further emphasizing gold's unique value as a "non-sovereign currency" [3] Group 3: Long-term Value of Gold - Despite a nearly 60% increase in gold prices this year, GTC believes that investment demand will not weaken, as gold remains undervalued relative to major stock markets in a high-debt, low-growth macro environment [4] - Gold is entering a new phase of long-term value reassessment, solidifying its core position in global investment portfolios [4] - In the context of macroeconomic uncertainty, gold will continue to play a crucial role in wealth preservation, asset protection, and currency hedging, providing stable long-term returns for investors [4]