Group 1 - The core economic interaction between China and the US has been beneficial for both, with China achieving unprecedented industrialization and the US benefiting from a strong consumer market and wealth accumulation [2][4] - China's industrial capacity has surpassed that of post-war America, contributing to its national strength and wealth accumulation, while living standards have significantly improved across various social strata [2][4] - The US has seen wealth accumulation through monetary expansion, with major financial and tech companies leveraging China's production capabilities to increase their market valuations [2][4] Group 2 - The economic interaction model has negative impacts, including China's pressure from increased dollar reserves and the US facing industrial hollowing, particularly in its Midwest regions [4][9] - The dollar's dominance in global trade is based on its irreplaceability and trust in the US's responsible use of monetary power, but these foundations are now being challenged [5][7] - The US's recent actions, such as asset freezes and sanctions, have highlighted the "weaponization" of the dollar, which is causing a gradual decrease in global reliance on the dollar [7][9] Group 3 - China is pursuing the internationalization of the renminbi, supported by its economic and military strength, which poses a challenge to the dollar's dominance [7][10] - The US aims for re-industrialization to address trade deficits, but faces significant challenges due to entrenched financial interests and a lack of political will [9][10] - China's goal is to ensure economic security and maintain its industrial base while navigating the complexities of international relations and potential financial risks [10][11] Group 4 - The future of US-China relations will be determined through negotiation and power dynamics, with time favoring China as it continues to strengthen its position [11] - The US must shift from a confrontational stance to one of equal negotiation to achieve cooperation from China, which possesses significant countermeasures [10][11] - China faces the dual challenge of managing the risks of financial overexpansion and ensuring a balance between short-term gains and long-term responsibilities in global governance [11]
弃用美元,改用人民币结算,欠债30多万亿的美元霸权还能撑多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-17 02:53