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研报掘金丨天风证券:首予巨化股份“增持”评级,多板块布局助力氟化工龙头成长

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities highlights Juhua Co., Ltd. as a leading state-owned enterprise in the fluorochemical industry, projecting steady growth in performance from 2013 to 2024, with refrigerant gross profit accounting for over 60% of its revenue [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Juhua's product portfolio includes seven categories: fluorochemical raw materials, fluorinated refrigerants, fluoropolymers, fluorinated fine chemicals, food packaging materials, petrochemical materials, and basic chemical products [1] - The company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.7% and 20.4% respectively from 2013 to 2024, driven mainly by increased volume in the refrigerant and basic chemical segments [1] Group 2: Market Position and Projections - By 2025, Juhua is projected to have a production quota of 271,000 tons for its third-generation refrigerants (excluding R23), holding a market share of 34%, making it the industry leader [1] - The company leads in the market share of mainstream third-generation refrigerants, with R32, R125, and R134a accounting for 42%, 21%, and 25% of its total quota, respectively, and 41%, 34%, and 33% of the domestic total quota [1] Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - Juhua's multiple fluoropolymer production capacities rank among the top three in the country, and the company has developed a series of electronic fluorinated liquids through years of research and development [1] - Given its leadership position in the fluorochemical industry, the company is assigned a target price of 39.5-41.2 yuan per share based on a 24-25 times PE ratio for 2025, with an initial coverage rating of "Buy" [1]