Ge Long Hui·2025-10-17 06:52Core Viewpoint - Citigroup forecasts that China's nuclear power installation capacity will increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.6% from 2025 to 2030 [1] Company Analysis - Each nuclear power unit is estimated to contribute 1.3 billion yuan in new orders for both Dongfang Electric and Shanghai Electric, as both companies hold one-third market share in China's nuclear power equipment bidding [1] - Citigroup prefers Dongfang Electric due to its higher profit growth potential, greater contribution of nuclear power business to profits, and a more complete nuclear product line [1] - The bank raised its net profit forecasts for Dongfang Electric for 2026 and 2027 by 1% to 3%, based on improved gross margins from nuclear equipment sales, benefiting from price increases from 2023 to 2025 compared to pre-2023 levels, and recent cancellations of reference prices in multiple bids [1] - Citigroup increased the target price for Dongfang Electric from 20 HKD to 22 HKD, citing its more attractive valuation compared to global peers and limited exposure to overseas trade risks, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Shanghai Electric also received a "Buy" rating with a target price of 4.2 HKD [1]