李迅雷:什么情况下,股市会产生财富效应?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2025-10-17 07:36

Core Viewpoint - The wealth effect of the A-share market for individual investors is not significant, with only a minority able to make profits [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The stock market consists of various participants including listed companies, intermediaries, individual investors, and institutional investors, all aiming to make profits [1] - Listed companies earn money primarily through IPOs, while intermediaries profit from issuance, underwriting, and transaction fees [1] - The distribution of remaining profits among participants is skewed, with individual investors generally being less profitable [1] Group 2: Historical Context and Research - Historical data indicates that the proportion of individual investors making profits in the A-share market is low, aligning with the saying that out of ten stock traders, seven lose, two break even, and one makes a profit [1] - A study by Nobel laureate Robert J. Shiller, which tracked stock markets in 15 countries over 20 years, found no significant profit effect [1] Group 3: Trading Behavior - Frequent trading by individual investors, driven by risk aversion and greed, often leads to chasing highs and selling lows, resulting in minimal capital gains [1] - In contrast, the real estate market exhibits a wealth effect because properties are typically held long-term, reducing transaction frequency [2]