KWEICHOW MOUTAI(SH:600519) Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-10-17 07:55Core Insights - The collaboration with e-commerce channels has become an unavoidable topic for liquor companies, as they seek new growth amidst declining traditional sales [1][2] - The rapid growth of online liquor sales is not driven by liquor companies, which have historically undervalued e-commerce, but they can no longer resist the trend of online and offline integration [3][6] Group 1: Market Trends - The liquor industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with major companies reporting varying degrees of sales decline, particularly during the recent holiday seasons [2] - Sales of white liquor during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays dropped approximately 25%, primarily due to a significant contraction in group purchases and government-related markets [2] - In contrast, online sales of white liquor have surged, with Meituan reporting an 8-fold increase in sales for white liquor categories, and JD's sales growing by 109% during the holiday period [2] Group 2: E-commerce Dynamics - The entry of major liquor brands into e-commerce platforms marks a shift from resistance to cooperation, as companies like Moutai and Fenjiu have begun to embrace online sales [4] - However, the low-price competition from e-commerce platforms poses a significant challenge to traditional sales channels, with some premium liquor prices dropping below wholesale costs [4][7] - The current pricing chaos in the e-commerce sector is attributed to an oversupply in the liquor market, leading to platforms bypassing traditional controls set by liquor companies [6][7] Group 3: Brand Value and Consumer Perception - White liquor is characterized by information asymmetry, making it difficult for consumers to assess value, which is traditionally established through brand and pricing strategies [5] - The long-term low-price promotions on premium liquor products online threaten to undermine the established brand value and pricing structures of liquor companies [5] - The competition for market share between e-commerce platforms and liquor companies is intensifying, with platforms increasingly disregarding the concerns of liquor brands [7]