从被吹捧到沦为鸡肋，“AI”这个词用了还不到一年

Core Insights - The article discusses the potential onset of a third AI winter, drawing parallels with historical AI downturns due to unmet expectations and market realities [4][7]. Group 1: Current AI Market Situation - Many AI products launched earlier this year are now facing declining interest as they fail to address real business problems, leading to increased operational burdens and costs for companies [1][5]. - The high costs of training large models and their limited applicability in vertical markets have resulted in low return on investment, causing many AI projects to become mere showcases rather than practical solutions [5][6]. Group 2: Historical Context of AI Winters - The first AI winter occurred from 1974 to 1980, characterized by overly optimistic predictions that were not met due to technological limitations, leading to reduced funding and interest in AI research [2][3]. - The second AI winter from 1987 to 1993 was marked by the limitations of expert systems, which could not scale or adapt, resulting in a loss of market confidence and funding [3][4]. Group 3: Factors Contributing to Potential Third AI Winter - There is a significant gap between technological capabilities and market expectations, leading to a lack of sustainable business models for many AI products [6][7]. - Many companies are rushing into AI projects without a clear strategy or understanding of market needs, resulting in products that do not align with customer requirements [6][7]. - The urgency for immediate returns from both enterprises and investors is causing a lack of patience for long-term AI development, which may lead to a withdrawal of capital and support [7].