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ClearBridge Select Strategy Q3 2025 Commentary
ApplovinApplovin(US:APP) Seeking Alphaยท2025-10-17 16:54

Market Overview - U.S. equities showed upward momentum in Q3, with the S&P 500 Index increasing by 8.1% and the Russell 3000 Index rising by 8.2% due to improved tariff outcomes, the passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, anticipated interest rate cuts, and strong corporate earnings [2] - Growth stocks outperformed, with the Russell 3000 Growth Index up by 10.4%, surpassing its value counterpart by nearly 500 basis points [3] Sector Performance - The ClearBridge Select Strategy outperformed its benchmark for the second consecutive quarter, driven by contributions from consumer staples, communication services, IT, and industrials sectors [4] - Performance Food Group (PFGC) was a key contributor in consumer staples, boosted by activist investor interest and market share gains [5] - Reddit's advertising revenue surged by 84% year-over-year, leading to a higher valuation in communication services [6] - AppLovin's shares doubled due to strong earnings and optimism around its e-commerce business, expected to launch in Q4 [7] - L3Harris Technologies benefited from increased defense spending, while Comfort Systems saw steady demand from AI data center projects [8] Challenges and Detractors - Consumer discretionary and financials sectors faced headwinds, with MercadoLibre's stock declining due to competitive pressures and profit-taking [9] - Shift4 Payments experienced a negative reaction to disappointing Q2 results but raised its full-year guidance [10] - Concerns over generative AI impacting application software companies like ServiceNow and Fortinet led to losses, despite strong quarterly results [11] Portfolio Positioning - The company initiated eight new positions, including Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Vertex Pharmaceuticals, while exiting five others [12][13] - Vistra, a major power generator, is well-positioned to benefit from tightening market conditions and potential federal subsidies [14] - Participation in the IPOs of Firefly Aerospace and Figma reflects confidence in growth prospects [15] Outlook - The market's rally is supported by improving trade sentiment, with expectations for gradual normalization of interest rates and clarity on tariffs [19] - The Russell 2000 Index showed significant outperformance, indicating a broadening of market leadership [20] - The macro backdrop is expected to remain volatile, but the portfolio is positioned for various market scenarios [24] Portfolio Highlights - The ClearBridge Select Strategy outperformed the Russell 3000 Index, with contributions from eight of the eleven sectors [25] - Stock selection in consumer staples and communication services, along with an overweight in IT, drove positive results [26] - Key contributors included AppLovin, Reddit, and L3Harris Technologies, while MercadoLibre and ServiceNow were notable detractors [27]