Core Insights - AppLovin Corporation is expanding into ecommerce, which presents a significant Total Addressable Market (TAM) opportunity, positioning the company to lead in the digital advertising ecosystem [1] Company Analysis - The previous analysis of AppLovin Corporation occurred approximately 45 days ago, focusing on its strategic move into ecommerce [1] - The company is noted for its strong educational background in finance and economics, which contributes to its understanding of market trends, particularly in the tech sector [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy emphasizes simplicity, suggesting that fundamental financial ratios and metrics often provide clearer insights than complex analyses [1] - The company engages with a global community of investors through platforms like Seeking Alpha, which enhances its exposure and idea-sharing capabilities [1]

Needham analyst Bernie McTernan reiterated its Hold rating on AppLovin Corp. APP on Wednesday.AppLovin’s primary tool for future growth is Axon 2, which is an ad optimizer operating within the DSP that allows advertisers to place ads according to specified return thresholds.In McTernan’s third AppLovin Ecommerce Tracker, the total number of websites in his sample using Axon grew by +3% compared to last month to 323, which includes 18 gross adds and 7 churns.Also Read: AppLovin’s Rapid Ad Growth, AI Gains Dr ...

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of APP either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own due diligence before initiating a position in any of the aforeme ...

Core Viewpoint - OpenAI's ChatGPT has identified two stocks, Riot Platforms and AppLovin, as potential candidates for turning $100 into $1,000 by 2026, despite the high-risk nature of such investments [1] Group 1: Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT) - Riot Platforms is a leading Bitcoin mining company that is aggressively expanding its mining capacity with a goal to increase its hash rate by the end of 2025 [2] - The stock price of Riot Platforms is highly sensitive to Bitcoin's price movements, which can lead to significant gains if Bitcoin surges [3] - As of the latest trading session, RIOT was priced at $8.55, reflecting a 4% decline for the day and an 18% drop year-to-date [3] Group 2: AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ: APP) - AppLovin specializes in marketing and monetization solutions for mobile applications and has received a consensus "Strong Buy" rating from analysts [5] - The company reported earnings of $1.67 per share, exceeding expectations of $1.45, and generated $1.48 billion in revenue, surpassing the $1.38 billion estimate [6] - AppLovin's stock was trading at $354, up 0.8%, with a year-to-date gain of over 3% [7]

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin has attracted controversy due to bearish reports from short sellers, yet a significant investment from billionaire Chase Coleman indicates strong confidence in the company's future growth potential [1][3]. Investment Activity - Chase Coleman of Tiger Global Management purchased nearly $575 million worth of AppLovin stock, making it his largest new position in the first quarter, representing 1.7% of his portfolio and ranking as his 16th-largest holding [2][3]. Business Model and Technology - AppLovin operates an advertising platform for gaming app companies and is selling a legacy portfolio of gaming apps. The introduction of Axon 2, an AI-based advertising technology, is expected to drive substantial revenue growth [5][8]. - Axon 2 utilizes predictive machine learning to enhance ad targeting, bidding, and placement, aiming to identify gamers likely to engage with ads and maximize return on ad spending [6][8]. Financial Performance - In 2022, AppLovin generated $2.8 billion in revenue, which is projected to grow to $4.7 billion by 2024. In Q1 2023, revenue increased by 40% to $1.48 billion, with advertising revenue surging 70% to $1.16 billion [9]. - The company's gross margin improved significantly, rising from 55.4% in 2022 to 75.2% in 2024, and further to 81.7% in Q1 2023 [10]. Competitive Landscape - AppLovin's growth appears to be at the expense of competitors like Unity Software, which has seen a decline in revenue in its adtech business [11]. - The company anticipates long-term revenue growth from gaming clients in the 20% to 30% range, with plans to expand Axon 2's application to the e-commerce sector [12]. Valuation - Despite significant stock gains over the past two years, AppLovin's valuation remains reasonable, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just under 45 and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.56, indicating potential undervaluation [13].

The Technology Services space has registered strong growth post-pandemic, led by the swift adoption of remote work, augmenting the global digital transition. Technological advancements like 5G, blockchain, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) have expanded the industry. Furthermore, the industry’s growth has raised concerns about data security.AppLovin Corporation (APP) , Qifu Technology (QFIN) and Priority Technology Holdings (PRTH) are on the path to take advantage of the prevailing tre ...

AppLovin Corporation (APP) has witnessed its stock decline 26% over the past three months, worse than the industry’s 15% decline. Notably, competitors in the in-game mobile advertising space have also faced headwinds. Alphabet (GOOGL) shares have dropped 11%, while Meta Platforms (META) has seen a 10% decrease during the same period, reflecting broader weakness in the digital ad ecosystem.However, the tide appears to be turning. APP has surged 64% in the past month, signaling a strong rebound. Alphabet has ...

AppLovin's (NASDAQ: APP ) Q1 results were extremely strong, helping to offset recent concerns around the impact of tariffs on advertisers. The company's current performance is stronger than the headline numbers suggest though, due to the pedestrian growth and margins of theRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be ...

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin has shown a strong recovery in 2025, with shares rising approximately 7% as of May 12, following a successful Q1 earnings report and positive developments from Trump's trade deal with China [1][2]. Group 1: Q1 Earnings Performance - AppLovin's Q1 revenue growth was 40%, exceeding Wall Street's expectations by nearly 10% [2]. - The company achieved adjusted earnings per share growth of 149%, significantly higher than the forecasted 115% increase [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus and Market Opportunities - AppLovin finalized the sale of its mobile gaming segment to Tripledot Studios, allowing it to concentrate on its advertising business, which is a key growth driver [3]. - The company's e-commerce segment is performing well, operating at a $1 billion annual run rate, with less than 0.1% market penetration indicating substantial growth potential [3][4]. Group 3: Impact of Trade Deal - Approximately 90% of AppLovin's advertising revenue is derived from mobile games, which are not directly affected by tariffs, but the trade deal is expected to lower costs for many businesses, potentially increasing their advertising budgets [6]. - The trade deal may also facilitate discussions regarding a potential merger with TikTok, which could provide AppLovin with valuable data to enhance its advertising algorithms [7][8]. Group 4: Analyst Outlook - Analysts see a near 30% upside for AppLovin's shares, driven by its growth opportunities in e-commerce, the de-escalation of trade tensions, and the speculative potential of a TikTok deal [10].

Core Insights - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is a valuable tool for options traders, measuring realized volatility against expectations priced into options over the past year [2][3] - A high SVS indicates that a stock has realized greater volatility than what its options have priced in, making it a potential target for options trading [3][4] - The analysis highlights stocks with consistently high SVS scores, suggesting they are more likely to yield positive returns for options traders [4][9] Summary by Category SVS Overview - SVS is calculated using hypothetical at-the-money straddle trades held until expiration, generating around 250 data points annually [2] - The scoring system combines average straddle return (40%), percentage of positive returns (40%), and percentage of straddles that doubled (20%) into a score from 0 to 100 [3] High-Performing Stocks - Stocks like Moderna Inc (MRNA) and Mondelez International (MDLZ) have high SVS scores, indicating they have consistently provided positive returns despite recent price declines [4][9] - The table of stocks with SVS above 90 shows that several sectors, including pharmaceuticals and food producers, have performed well [5] Consistent Positive Straddles - The analysis identifies stocks with the highest percentage of positive straddles, including MDLZ and MRNA, which have shown strong performance metrics [8] - The data suggests that stocks with a history of positive straddle returns are likely to continue attracting options traders [9] Growth Stocks and Risk Appetite - Risky growth stocks like HIMS and SoundHound AI (SOUN) are highlighted as potential targets for options traders looking for high returns, despite their volatility [11] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding risk tolerance when selecting stocks for options trading, especially in a post-earnings season environment [11]