中国外汇市场韧性持续增强

Core Insights - Since the "14th Five-Year Plan," China's foreign exchange market has shown resilience and stability, with significant growth in cross-border capital flows and the international influence of the Renminbi [1][2][3] Group 1: Foreign Exchange Market Performance - The foreign exchange market's trading volume is projected to reach $41 trillion by 2024, a 37.4% increase from 2020 [1] - The scale of cross-border receipts and payments is expected to be $14 trillion by 2024, reflecting a 64% growth compared to 2020 [1] - The net inflow of foreign investment into China from 2021 to mid-2025 is over $740 billion [2] Group 2: International Balance of Payments - China's international balance of payments has maintained basic equilibrium, with steady increases in foreign financial assets and liabilities [2] - The average annual scale of goods trade imports and exports from 2021 to 2024 is nearly $6 trillion, a 43% increase compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The net foreign assets of China stand at $3.8 trillion, ranking third globally [2] Group 3: Resilience and Risk Management - The resilience of the foreign exchange market has improved, enhancing its ability to withstand external shocks [3] - The percentage of enterprises using foreign exchange hedging has increased from 17% in 2020 to around 30% [3] - The share of Renminbi in cross-border trade has risen from 16% to nearly 30% [3] Group 4: Efficient Allocation of Foreign Exchange Resources - The foreign exchange market has developed a comprehensive product system, including spot, forward, swap, and options [4] - By mid-2023, 703 banks and 115 non-bank institutions, including 296 foreign institutions, participated in the interbank foreign exchange market [4] - The Renminbi has maintained its position as the fifth most traded currency globally, with a market share of 8.5%, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from 2022 [4] Group 5: Policy Enhancements for Enterprises - The foreign exchange management authority has focused on optimizing policies to benefit enterprises and the public [5] - Since 2021, policies for facilitating high-quality enterprises have been upgraded, with approximately $4.7 trillion in facilitation transactions processed by September 2025 [6] - The implementation of a "one-stop" service for trade foreign exchange business has streamlined processes for enterprises [6] Group 6: Future Directions - The foreign exchange management authority aims to balance trade facilitation and risk prevention, enhancing public awareness of policy benefits [7]