黄金冲高回落后上涨动能犹存，后市走向引关注

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market indices collectively rose on October 17, indicating a rebound in market risk appetite compared to the previous week [1] - Major U.S. tech stocks mostly increased, while popular Chinese concept stocks showed mixed performance [1] - International precious metal prices experienced a collective decline, with gold prices falling below $4,300 per ounce and briefly dipping below $4,200 per ounce [1] Group 2 - U.S. regional banks showed signs of credit pressure, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets, which pushed international gold prices to briefly exceed $4,380 per ounce, marking a weekly increase of over 8% [3] - The performance of Western Alliance Bancorp and Fifth Third Bancorp indicated a slowdown in risk, contributing to a slight rise in U.S. stock indices [3] Group 3 - Despite a short-term pullback, gold's upward momentum remains strong, driven by geopolitical tensions, interest rate cut expectations, central bank gold purchases, and significant inflows into ETFs [4] - Gold prices have increased by over 66% this year, and it has become the first asset to surpass a total market value of $30 trillion after breaking the $4,300 mark [4] - The SPDR Gold Trust reported a record holding of 1,034.62 tons, the highest level since July 2022, indicating strong ETF inflows supporting gold prices [4] Group 4 - HSBC forecasts that gold's upward momentum may continue until 2026, driven by strong central bank purchases and ongoing fiscal concerns in the U.S., with a target price of $5,000 [5] - The report emphasizes that the U.S. fiscal deficit is a significant factor driving gold demand as investors increasingly view gold as a hedge against debt sustainability risks [5] - Bank of America strategist Hartnett notes that current gold allocations are low, and expectations regarding the new Fed chair and potential monetary devaluation are favorable for gold investments [5][6]