Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-18 09:19Core Viewpoint - Vanke, once a model in the real estate industry, is facing a severe crisis due to the sudden disappearance of its chairman and the detention of its president, leading to a collapse of its external credit and internal governance [3][6][12]. Group 1: Leadership Crisis - Chairman Xin Jie was appointed in January to stabilize Vanke amid emerging crises but disappeared after just nine months in office [10][12]. - President Zhu Jiusheng, known for his professional management, has been detained, raising concerns about internal governance and financial practices [18][22]. Group 2: Financial Distress - Vanke's total liabilities amount to 872.9 billion, with interest-bearing liabilities at 364.2 billion [26]. - The company faces short-term debt repayments between 155.3 billion and 157.8 billion, while cash on hand is less than 70 billion, resulting in a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of only 0.55 [27][29]. - Vanke reported a net loss of 11.6 billion in the first half of the year, with a 45.7% drop in sales and negative operating cash flow of 3 billion [29]. Group 3: Asset Liquidation - To address its financial issues, Vanke is selling assets, having raised 4.09 billion from sales in the first half of the year, with 64 projects valued at 78.5 billion still for sale [31]. - The company is selling not only ordinary real estate projects but also core assets like Vanke Logistics and long-term rental apartments, which could hinder future growth [33]. Group 4: Market Reaction and Future Outlook - The market reacted moderately to the leadership changes, with Vanke's stock dropping only 3.11% on the day of Xin Jie's resignation [35]. - Despite the challenges, Vanke's state-owned background may provide some stability, but the company faces significant hurdles in regaining its former reputation and operational efficiency [37][39].