【UNforex本周财经总结】黄金冲高后急挫 风险与政策预期主导市场

Group 1: Market Overview - Global financial markets experienced significant volatility this week due to geopolitical tensions and policy expectations, with a shift between risk and safe-haven assets [1][3] - The price of gold reached a historical high of $4,379 before retreating over 2% to around $4,240, influenced by a more moderate stance from Trump on tariffs against China [1] - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) rebounded to 98.40, ending a four-day decline, supported by comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding the 2% inflation target [2] Group 2: Commodity Performance - Oil prices continued to face pressure, with WTI crude reaching a five-month low of $56.5 per barrel, driven by an unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories and concerns over oversupply [2] - Despite short-term adjustments, central banks' ongoing accumulation of gold and the trend of de-dollarization provide medium to long-term support for gold prices [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators and Future Outlook - Upcoming focus will be on U.S. CPI and PCE inflation data, which will be critical in determining the direction of the dollar and the stability of gold prices around the $4,200 support level [3] - The interplay between geopolitical events, such as the U.S. government shutdown and trade tensions, continues to add uncertainty to market conditions [3]