Goldman Sachs says the demand for gold is not just hype, and predicts the U.S. could still see a repeat of a Nixon-era spike

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is driven by fundamental economic factors rather than mere speculation, indicating a strong market for precious metals [1][2]. Price Movement - Gold prices have increased by 65% in 2025, reaching a record high of approximately $4,242 per ounce due to economic uncertainty and depreciation of the dollar [2]. - Goldman Sachs forecasts that gold will rise to $4,900 by the end of 2026 [2]. Economic Context - Gold serves as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty, appealing to investors as a finite commodity with high value [3]. - The current market dynamics have led even traditionally skeptical figures, such as JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, to advocate for gold investment [4]. Historical Comparison - The current gold market situation is reminiscent of the 1970s, when gold prices surged from $35 in 1970 to $850 in 1980, a 2,300% increase, driven by economic instability and policy changes [5]. - Similar fiscal concerns and policy uncertainties today could lead to increased demand for gold as a store of value [6]. Market Dynamics - The gold market is relatively small compared to equities and Treasury markets, allowing for quicker price increases in response to demand [6]. - Legendary gold investor Pierre Lassonde suggests that the U.S. is just beginning a bull market cycle similar to that of the 1970s, with gold prices starting to rise significantly from around $161 in 1975 [7].