它，涨势超过黄金

Core Viewpoint - The price of silver has surged dramatically this year, surpassing gold's price increase, with a year-to-date rise of over 84% as of October 16, reaching $53.20 per ounce, while gold's increase is around 60% [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current surge in silver prices is attributed to a rare "short squeeze" phenomenon, which has not been seen in 50 years, putting significant pressure on short sellers in the futures market [4][5]. - The tight supply of physical silver has been a key factor in this short squeeze, with global silver supply experiencing a shortage for the past five years, and London’s market liquidity tightening to the point of "no silver available" [4][5]. - As of now, the total silver inventory in London is approximately 25,000 tons, but the actual available inventory is likely less than 4,000 tons due to a significant portion being held in ETFs [4][5]. Group 2: Industrial Demand - The industrial demand for silver is becoming a primary driver of its price increase, particularly due to its applications in green energy, photovoltaics, and high-tech industries [8][9]. - The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) reports that silver demand for industrial use is expected to grow by 4% to 680.5 million ounces in 2024, driven by the green economy [8]. - The global photovoltaic demand has exceeded expectations, particularly in overseas markets, compensating for domestic demand declines [8]. Group 3: Financial Attributes - Silver's financial attributes are increasingly influencing its pricing, with a significant divergence in the gold-silver ratio, currently around 82 to 85, compared to the historical range of 50 to 70, indicating potential for price correction [9]. - Silver is more sensitive to interest rate changes than gold, with a sensitivity ratio of 1.5 times, making it a more attractive option for investors seeking both safety and returns amid anticipated interest rate cuts [9]. Group 4: Investment Trends - The investment demand for silver is rising, with global silver ETF holdings expected to reach 1.13 billion ounces in the first half of 2025, nearly matching the peak levels seen in 2021 [10]. - The precious metals market is currently in a bull market phase, with the decline of the dollar's credibility serving as a core foundation for rising gold and silver prices [10].