拜登预言成真，让特朗普干完这4年，美国或许成为“世界老二”？

Economic Impact - The return of Trump has led to a significant escalation in tariffs, including a 10% global baseline tariff and an outrageous 125% tariff on Chinese goods, which has resulted in increased costs for American consumers, with an estimated additional $3,000 in living expenses for an average family from 2024 to 2025 [3][5] - The U.S. stock market has reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 dropping by 11% and the Nasdaq falling by 16% in the first quarter of 2025, while the Atlanta Federal Reserve predicts a nearly 3% contraction in the U.S. economy [5][19] - The economic policies under Trump have led to a situation described as "Trump recession," with significant job losses and supply chain disruptions affecting various sectors, including automotive and agriculture [5][19] Global Relations - The U.S. has seen a decline in its global leadership, with allies like the EU and Canada implementing counter-tariffs and moving towards greater economic independence, as evidenced by the EU's "Ready for 2030" white paper [10][12] - Trust in the U.S. has diminished significantly, with a Pew Research Center poll indicating a sharp decline in positive perceptions of the U.S. among citizens of 19 major countries, particularly in Canada where 73% of respondents expressed negative views [9][12] - The U.S. is experiencing a shift towards a multipolar world, with countries like Saudi Arabia beginning to settle oil transactions in yuan, indicating a move away from the dollar [7][21] Domestic Policy - Trump's domestic policies have led to significant government downsizing, resulting in labor shortages in critical sectors such as agriculture and construction, exacerbated by tightened immigration policies [14][16] - The political landscape has become increasingly polarized, with concerns about the erosion of democratic institutions and the rule of law, as Trump has been criticized for undermining the judicial system [16][18] - The internal divisions within the U.S. society are deepening, with issues of racial and class conflict becoming more pronounced under Trump's administration, raising questions about the country's ability to maintain its international leadership [16][19]