A股：券商股不涨的原因找到了，股民可能还没有想到！

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite a bullish market sentiment, brokerage stocks have not performed well, leading to questions about their lagging performance compared to other financial sectors like banks and insurance [1][6]. - Dongwu Securities' third-quarter earnings forecast indicates a profit of 2.748 billion to 3.023 billion yuan, with a significant portion already earned in the first half, suggesting only 810 million to 990 million yuan in the third quarter, which is a stagnation compared to the second quarter's 952 million yuan [3][5]. - The year-on-year profit growth of 25% to 50% compared to last year's 666 million yuan appears decent, but it pales in comparison to the substantial growth seen in the first half of the year, indicating a lack of momentum [5][6]. Group 2 - The brokerage sector is not entirely stagnant, but its growth has not kept pace with major indices, leading to a perception of underperformance [6][8]. - The market's outdated view of brokerages as merely dependent on market conditions is shifting, with upcoming reforms and increased demand for wealth management providing new growth opportunities [6][8]. - Brokerages that have strong compliance, innovation capabilities, and early wealth management strategies are evolving from traditional service providers to comprehensive financial service firms, positioning themselves as key players in the capital market [8].