Core Viewpoint - The US-China trade dispute has evolved into a comprehensive technological supply chain confrontation, with China strategically managing resources and innovation while the US imposes tariffs and export restrictions [2][18]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - China's reliance on the US for exports has significantly decreased from 50% at its peak to 11.2%, indicating a diversification of its export markets [2]. - The US's attempt to impose a 100% tariff on all imports from China is expected to raise domestic prices and could lower GDP by 1.1% by 2027 [6][8]. - China's export of electric vehicles has increased its market share from 20% to 40% in Europe and Latin America, showcasing its adaptability in the face of tariffs [8]. Group 2: Rare Earth Elements - China controls 70% of global rare earth production and 90% of deep processing capacity, which is critical for modern industries [4]. - New export regulations require any product containing Chinese rare earth elements to declare its intended use, particularly for sensitive applications in defense and semiconductors [4][12]. - The US defense systems heavily rely on Chinese rare earth materials, with significant components like the F-35 and Tomahawk missiles depending on these supplies [6][14]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - China has made significant technological breakthroughs, overcoming 85% of the bottlenecks identified in 2018, including advancements in solid-state batteries and semiconductor production [10][12]. - The efficiency of wind power generation has improved due to a 20% increase in the strength of rare earth permanent magnets, which are essential for energy applications [12][16]. - China's self-sufficiency in battery material recycling has reached 90%, reducing environmental costs and enhancing its competitive edge in the green technology sector [16]. Group 4: Strategic Positioning - The trade conflict has revealed the limitations of US strategies, as the US remains dependent on Chinese processing capabilities, particularly in the defense and technology sectors [12][18]. - China's proactive measures in rare earth regulation are designed to target US vulnerabilities while maintaining compliance with international norms [14][18]. - The diversification of trade partners, including long-term agreements with Brazil for soybeans and Africa for minerals, has strengthened China's resilience against market fluctuations [14].
全球都看错了!加税100%又怎样?中国攻克软肋,美国已无牌可打!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-19 16:04