IMF调高全球增长预期 强调世界经济仍较脆弱

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the July prediction, while maintaining the 2026 growth forecast at 3.1% [1] - The report highlights that emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by 4.2% this year, up by 0.1 percentage points from the previous forecast, while developed economies' growth is also adjusted upward to 1.6% [1] - The Asia-Pacific region is projected to contribute approximately 60% to global growth over the next two years, with opportunities arising from a shift towards domestic demand-driven growth [1] Economic Challenges - Global economic growth remains sluggish, with trade policy uncertainty suppressing consumption and investment, alongside rising public debt and increased defense spending [2] - The IMF warns that global public debt is expected to exceed 100% of global GDP by 2029, urging economies to ensure debt sustainability and eliminate trade policy uncertainties [2] - Structural reforms are recommended to boost economic growth prospects, including promoting labor mobility and enhancing investments in the digital economy [2]