“最强板块”，突然调整，刚刚，解读来了

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metals sector has emerged as one of the strongest performing sectors in the market since 2025, with the China Securities Index for non-ferrous metals leading 31 first-level sub-industries with a nearly 70% increase [1] Group 1: Performance and Drivers - The non-ferrous metals sector has seen a broad-based rally, driven by rising precious metal prices due to Federal Reserve rate cuts and safe-haven demand, as well as industrial metals benefiting from supply constraints and demand recovery [1][12] - The sector has experienced a "Davis Double Play" phenomenon, where both metal prices and corporate earnings expectations have significantly increased [15][12] - Factors contributing to the sector's strength include macroeconomic easing, supply-demand dynamics, market sentiment, and sector rotation effects [13][12] Group 2: Future Outlook and Risks - Short-term volatility risks are anticipated due to previous rapid price increases, but the long-term investment value of the non-ferrous metals sector remains solid, supported by commodity scarcity and attractive valuations [12][19] - Key signals to monitor include the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts, mining disruptions, domestic growth policies, and signs of PPI stabilization [21][20] - The strategic value of rare earths is expected to provide solid support for the sector's long-term performance, especially in the context of geopolitical tensions and supply chain considerations [22][25] Group 3: Sector Differentiation - Within the non-ferrous metals sector, there are significant differences in the demand drivers for various metals, with precious metals primarily driven by safe-haven demand, while industrial and energy metals benefit from macroeconomic recovery and energy transition [24][18] - The strategic importance of rare earths is increasingly recognized, with export control policies enhancing China's competitive advantage in the global market [22][23] Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on metals with strong demand certainty and clear supply constraints, while also considering sector rotation opportunities [24][19] - The overall investment strategy should balance short-term trading risks with long-term growth potential, particularly in light of the current market dynamics and geopolitical factors [27][26]