Core Viewpoint - Xtep International (01368) is optimizing its multi-brand matrix by divesting its fashion sports brand in 2024 to focus on its core running business, which will enhance resource allocation and strengthen its professional sports position. The company is expected to begin its DTC transformation in 2025, exploring more efficient and high-quality channel layouts, maintaining a "Buy" rating and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] Group 1 - In Q3 2025, Xtep's main brand achieved a low single-digit year-on-year growth in total channel revenue, continuing the stable trend from Q2, with online sales outperforming offline sales and children's products outperforming adult products [2] - The running and outdoor product categories saw double-digit growth, while lifestyle products experienced slight fluctuations due to macroeconomic conditions. Over 60% of Xtep's brand products are functional, stabilizing the core business [2] Group 2 - Saucony brand experienced over 20% year-on-year growth in total channel revenue in Q3, with offline revenue increasing by over 30%. The brand opened 16 new stores, primarily in key business districts of first and second-tier cities, maintaining an annual store opening target of 30-50 [3] - Saucony's online business has been actively adjusted since Q2 to reduce low-priced products and tighten discounts, aiming to strengthen its high-end brand positioning for the Q4 sales season [3] Group 3 - Xtep's main brand maintained a healthy inventory level with a stock-to-sales ratio of 4-4.5 months and discount levels between 70-75%, reflecting good supply chain management and terminal sales efficiency [4] - Saucony's inventory and discount levels are also under control, allowing flexibility for Q4 promotional activities [4] Group 4 - Xtep is continuously optimizing its channel structure and upgrading store images, with over 70% of its new store formats being the 9th generation and leading stores. The company is accelerating its layout in shopping centers and outlet stores [5] - The outlet channel, represented by leading and selected outlets, has a significant area and is expected to contribute to offline sales growth, with plans to expand the number of stores to 70-100 by 2026 [5] Group 5 - The DTC transformation is progressing steadily, with plans to reclaim approximately 100 stores in Q4 and a total of 400 stores by the end of 2025, with related capital expenditures of about 400 million yuan, which will enhance long-term channel competitiveness [6]
申万宏源:维持特步国际“买入”评级 DTC转型稳步推进